Risk Assessment

Four Risk Categories

v9.3 evaluates tracks across four risk dimensions, providing comprehensive risk assessment for commercial use, licensing, and rights management.

Copyright Risk

Likelihood of infringement or unclear copyright ownership

Legal Risk

Potential for legal disputes or complications

Ownership Risk

Clarity and legitimacy of ownership claims

Market Risk

Commercial viability and platform compliance

Risk Calculation Formula

Base Risk Calculation

Formula:

Risk Score = Platform Base Risk × (Confidence / 100)

Example:

Platform: Suno (Base Copyright Risk: 85%)
Confidence: 75%
Calculated Risk: 85 × 0.75 = 63.75% (rounded to 64%)

Metadata Adjustments

Risk scores are adjusted based on track metadata:

Major Labels: -30 copyright, -25 legal
Pre-2020 Releases: -50 all categories (pre-AI era)
High Followers (>100K): -20 ownership, -15 market

Minimum Risk: 5% (floor for all categories)

Example: Complete Calculation

Track: Suspected AI track by major label artist

Base Suno Copyright Risk: 85%
Confidence: 70% → 85 × 0.70 = 59.5%
Major Label Adjustment: 59.5 - 30 = 29.5%
Artist Followers (150K): 29.5 - 0 = 29.5% (copyright unaffected)
Final Copyright Risk: 30%

Copyright Risk (5-90%)

What It Measures: Likelihood of copyright infringement, unclear ownership, or unauthorized use of training data

High Copyright Risk Platforms

Suno: 85% - Text-to-music, potential training data issues
Udio: 80% - Similar concerns, vocal synthesis
Mubert: 45% - Generative but licensed samples

Low Copyright Risk

Human Artists: 5% - Natural copyright protection
AIVA: 40% - Clear licensing terms
Endel: 25% - Wellness-focused, clear ownership

When to Be Concerned

>60%: High risk - avoid commercial use without verification
40-60%: Moderate risk - legal review recommended
<40%: Lower risk - proceed with standard due diligence

Legal Risk (5-70%)

What It Measures: Potential for legal disputes, litigation, or regulatory complications

Legal Risk Factors

AI Training Data: Lawsuits against AI music platforms
Platform Terms: Unclear commercial use rights
Regulatory Uncertainty: Evolving AI music laws
Jurisdiction Issues: Different laws in different countries

Platform Legal Risk Scores

Suno: 70% - Active litigation, unclear terms
Udio: 65% - Similar legal challenges
AIVA: 30% - Clear terms, established legality
Human: 5% - Standard copyright protections

Mitigation Strategies

>50%: Obtain written legal opinion
30-50%: Review platform terms and licensing
<30%: Standard contract review sufficient

Ownership Risk (5-90%)

What It Measures: Clarity and legitimacy of ownership claims, ability to enforce rights

Ownership Risk Concerns

Who Owns AI Music: Platform vs user vs training data owners
Rights Enforcement: Ability to sue infringers
Collective Rights: PRO registration challenges
Moral Rights: Attribution and integrity rights

Platform Ownership Clarity

Suno: 90% - Highest ownership uncertainty
Udio: 85% - Similar ownership issues
AIVA: 45% - Clearer ownership terms
Beatoven: 35% - Well-defined ownership
Human: 5% - Clear creator ownership

Adjustments for Established Artists

High Followers (>100K): -20 ownership risk

Rationale: Established artists have verifiable history, making ownership claims more credible

Market Risk (5-60%)

What It Measures: Commercial viability, platform compliance, and monetization potential

Market Risk Factors

Platform Policies: Spotify, Apple Music AI music policies
Monetization: YouTube ContentID, streaming royalties
Discovery: Playlist inclusion, algorithmic promotion
Licensing: Sync licensing, commercial use approval

Platform Market Risk Scores

Suno: 60% - Platform policy uncertainty
Udio: 55% - Similar market challenges
AIVA: 35% - Established commercial acceptance
Endel: 20% - Niche market, clear use cases
Human: 5% - Full market acceptance

High Follower Adjustment

Followers >100K: -15 market risk

Rationale: Established audience reduces market viability concerns

Risk Level Interpretations

5-20% (Low)

Safe for most commercial uses. Standard due diligence sufficient.

21-40% (Moderate)

Proceed with caution. Additional research recommended.

41-60% (High)

Significant risk. Legal review strongly advised.

61-80% (Very High)

Major concerns. Avoid without expert verification.

81-100% (Critical)

Extreme risk. Do not use commercially.

Case Studies

Case 1: Human Artist on Major Label

Platform Detection: Human 92%
Base Risk: 5% all categories
Major Label Adjustment: Copyright 5%, Legal 5% (already minimum)
Final Risks: All 5% (lowest possible)
Recommendation: Safe for all uses

Case 2: Suno Track, High Confidence

Platform Detection: Suno 85%
Base Risks: Copyright 85%, Legal 70%, Ownership 90%, Market 60%
Confidence Scaling (85%): 72%, 59%, 76%, 51%
No Adjustments
Final Risks: Copyright 72%, Legal 59%, Ownership 76%, Market 51%
Recommendation: High risk, avoid commercial use

Case 3: AIVA Track for Video Background

Platform Detection: AIVA 78%
Base Risks: Copyright 40%, Legal 30%, Ownership 45%, Market 35%
Confidence Scaling (78%): 31%, 23%, 35%, 27%
Final Risks: Moderate across all categories
Recommendation: Acceptable for video backgrounds, review AIVA license